Showing posts with label economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economy. Show all posts

Wednesday, 3 January 2018

22 Uk Economy Problems

1. Low economic growth and in particular stagnant real wage growth.

2. Devaluation of Pound Sterling, increasing price of imported goods, such as food, oil, manufacturers and domestic inflation.

3. Low business investment.

4. A hung parliament.

5. Our clapped-out economy, brilliant at consumption, poor at production, is becoming unviable.

6. State of the housing market – expensive prices and rents are contributing to intergenerational inequality.

7. Decline in capital flows as the UK is seen as a more risky place to invest and save.

8. Structural unemployment -
More than 30% of those unemployed have been out of work for at least a year. Youth unemployment remains high and there are wide variations in regional unemployment / job opportunities across the regions of Britain.

9. Too much debt.

10. Static pay, as every sector except finance cuts costs to survive.

11. Uncertainty from Brexit transition.

12. UK’s large current account deficit, which will put further downward pressure on Sterling.

13. Structural fiscal deficit - the Coalition government has found it difficult to cut the size of the cyclically-adjusted budget deficit which remains above 5% of GDP.

14. Without the consumer and the housing market, it was not a case of different growth, it was a case of no growth.

15. Training and upskilling are little use without industries to employ the beneficiaries.

16. Relative poverty and inequality.

17. Limited room for monetary easing with interest rates already 0.5%.

18. Fuel bills have been slow to declined despite the collapse int the world price of oil.

19. Our companies look to short-term profit rather than long-term growth.


Wednesday, 1 November 2017

12 Sign Of Financial Crisis In Economy

1. 2008 Financial Crisis. The first warning came in 2006 when housing prices started falling and mortgage defaults began rising.
2. Debt in the world economy, as a share of GDP, amounted to 138%, compared with 115% at the end of 2007. For advanced economies, that ratio averaged 195% last year, compared with 183% at the end of 2007.
3. Credit-to-GDP Gap Breaches Critical Level :
Anything above 2 to be a strong gap, and anything above 10 to be a critical warning. Breaching 10 results in a banking crisis in two-thirds of economies, within three years.
4. Everyone around you is talking about stocks (or real estate or whatever the fad asset of the day is). And you should really start worrying when the people talking about getting rich in certain areas of the market don’t have a background in finance.
5. When people begin quitting their jobs to day trade or become a mortgage broker.
6. 9/11 Attacks Crisis:
It was due to uncertainty about whether the United States would go to war. The resultant War on Terror added $1.3 trillion to the national debt.
7. Unsustainably low interest rates over a long period have led to a significant imbalance in economies around the world.
8. Once investors believe that other investors are going to run on the bank, they want to run too (because banks typically hold less than 10% of the cash required to pay back all depositors). In the language of game theory, there is a switch from the “good equilibrium” to the “bad equilibrium”.
9. When someone exhibits skepticism about the prospects for stocks and people don’t just disagree with them, but they do so vehemently and tell them they’re an idiot for not understanding things.
10. When you start to see extreme predictions. The example Bernstein gives is how the best-selling investment book in 1999 was Dow 36,000.